Will Pembrokeshire See a Long, Hot, and Dry Summer in 2025?

Whether it’s a beach day or a rainy ramble along the coastal path, Pembrokeshire remains a beautiful destination in all weather

As the summer of 2025 approaches, residents of Pembrokeshire and prospective holidaymakers alike are wondering: is West Wales in for an unusually long, hot, and dry summer? With shifting climate patterns and early seasonal indicators, the outlook is beginning to take shape.

Early Indicators and Historical Context

Pembrokeshire, known for its stunning coastline and mild maritime climate, traditionally experiences moderate summer temperatures with frequent rain showers. June and July typically bring daytime highs of around 17 to 19°C, with around a dozen rainy days each month.

However, the broader trend across the UK is signaling a higher chance of above-average temperatures this year. Long-range forecasts are suggesting a tilt toward warmer and drier conditions for the British Isles, with only a low probability of a cooler-than-average season.

What This Means for Pembrokeshire

Despite national forecasts, Pembrokeshire's coastal geography plays a significant role in moderating temperature extremes. The surrounding sea often keeps the area cooler than inland regions during heatwaves, and frequent Atlantic weather systems can quickly break dry spells with showers or thunderstorms.

That said, residents might still see more prolonged periods of dry, warm weather than usual. This could manifest as more consistent sunshine, slightly higher temperatures, and perhaps fewer rainy interruptions — all while retaining the region’s typical unpredictability.

What to Watch For

• Increased dry spells: While not necessarily drought conditions, Pembrokeshire may experience more days without rain than usual, which could impact gardening, agriculture, and local water use.

• Sudden downpours: A hallmark of Welsh weather, heavy bursts of rain after dry spells are still likely and could lead to localized flooding, particularly in rural or low-lying areas.

• Tourism impact: A warmer and drier summer could boost tourism across the county, with more people flocking to beaches, trails, and historic sites. This may mean busier towns and potential strains on local infrastructure.

How Prepare

• Stay weather-aware: Keep an eye on local forecasts for updates and potential weather warnings.

• Plan flexible outings: When exploring the coast or countryside, pack for both sun and rain — a hat and sunscreen alongside a lightweight raincoat.

• Water responsibly: If dry periods extend, be mindful of water use, particularly for gardens and outdoor activities.

Final Thoughts

While Pembrokeshire is unlikely to experience the extreme heat and drought conditions seen in some other parts of the UK or Europe, summer 2025 could still turn out warmer and drier than the historical average. For locals and visitors alike, the key will be to enjoy the sun when it shines and to be prepared for the region’s ever-changing skies.

Whether it’s a beach day or a rainy ramble along the coastal path, Pembrokeshire remains a beautiful destination in all weather — but this year, there might just be a few more chances to leave the umbrella at home.